Newcastle Breakers vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 4
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
3 - 2
NCB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 0
NCB
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 4
WAD
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ADE
0 - 0
BRI
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
WAD
0 - 3
ADE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
ADE
3 - 0
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 1
ADE
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
ADE
2 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |