MLS Quarter-finals
Global 0-7
New York City vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
NYC
56%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
COC
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 1
NYC
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOD
0 - 2
NYC
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
CFS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
NYC
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
PHU
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |