New York City vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 2
ORL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NYC
0 - 7
RBN
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
NYC
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
NYC
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
DCU
0 - 2
NYC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
COC
4 - 3
RSL
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
KCW
1 - 3
RSL
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOD
1 - 0
RSL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
RSL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RSL
2 - 1
HOD
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |