New York City vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
0 - 1
TOR
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
NYC
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
2 - 1
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
DCU
0 - 0
NYC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
NER
0 - 2
NYC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
PHU
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RBN
0 - 1
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
2 - 1
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
COC
3 - 0
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
CFS
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |