New York City vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
DCU
0 - 0
NYC
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
NER
0 - 2
NYC
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NYC
3 - 1
CFS
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
NYC
1 - 0
COC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
RBN
1 - 0
NYC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
COC
3 - 0
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
CFS
20%
24%
57%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
COC
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
CFS
3 - 0
CIN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
DCU
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |