MLS Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
New York City vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
COC
4 - 1
NYC
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NYC
2 - 2
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
NYC
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 1
NYC
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
NYC
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
COC
4 - 1
NYC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
COC
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NYC
2 - 2
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ORL
0 - 1
COC
38%
25%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
COC
2 - 0
DCU
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |