New York City vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
NYC
5 - 2
CIN
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
COC
2 - 2
NYC
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 1
NYC
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
GAL
0 - 2
NYC
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MON
0 - 2
NYC
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 3
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HAA
1 - 1
CAR
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
FSS
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
NYO
1 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
BLE
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |