New Mexico United vs Rio Grande Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
NMU
1 - 0
RGV
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 1
NMU
5%
15%
80%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
NMU
0 - 2
BLE
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
ORS
1 - 2
NMU
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
1 - 2
NMU
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
NMU
1 - 0
RGV
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
RGV
0 - 0
EPL
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
RGV
1 - 0
PIT
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ORS
2 - 2
RGV
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
RGV
0 - 1
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |