New Mexico United vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LVG
1 - 2
NMU
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 0
NMU
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
NMU
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 1
LMS
70%
17%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 2
EPL
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSL
1 - 0
KCW
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 2
RSL
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
0 - 4
RSL
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSL
0 - 0
COC
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
RSL
40%
25%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |