New Mexico United vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
NMU
25%
26%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
NMU
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 2
MBF
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 3
TUL
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 3
NMU
36%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 0
MBF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
MIA
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 5
MEM
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EPL
2 - 1
MIA
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
MIA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |