New Mexico United vs Loudoun United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
NMU
3 - 1
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DET
1 - 0
NMU
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NMU
1 - 0
MIA
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
NMU
25%
26%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
NMU
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Loudoun United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 2
BLE
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
ARI
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
RHO
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
LOU
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +3 |