New Mexico United vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
POR
3 - 2
NMU
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
NMU
2 - 2
AUB
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
NMU
3 - 0
EPL
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 2
NMU
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
CAR
7%
12%
81%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 3
LAG
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 3
ARI
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
LAG
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
TUL
1 - 3
LAG
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 2
REN
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |