New Mexico United vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FFC
3 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RGV
2 - 1
FFC
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 2
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |