New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NMU
2 - 3
MEM
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 0
NMU
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TUL
1 - 1
NMU
23%
25%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
NMU
1 - 2
ARI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
4 - 0
NMU
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LOU
4 - 1
ARI
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
MEM
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
ARI
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
NMU
1 - 2
ARI
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 2
MBF
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |