New Hampshire vs Vermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Hampshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NHW
2 - 0
HHH
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
VER
1 - 2
NHW
38%
22%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NHW
4 - 1
UML
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NHW
4 - 0
HHH
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SBS
1 - 2
NHW
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NJH
0 - 1
VER
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
VER
1 - 2
NHW
38%
22%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -3 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UAY
0 - 2
VER
20%
20%
61%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UML
0 - 1
VER
16%
19%
65%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
VER
1 - 0
UML
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |