New England Revolution vs Tampa Bay Mutiny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
RBN
3 - 1
NER
54%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
TAM
4 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
DAL
0 - 1
NER
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
NER
0 - 1
COC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
DCU
3 - 2
NER
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tampa Bay Mutiny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
KCW
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
TAM
4 - 0
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
TAM
2 - 1
RBN
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
TAM
4 - 1
RBN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SJE
1 - 1
TAM
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |