New England Revolution vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NER
3 - 0
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
NYC
2 - 2
NER
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RBN
2 - 1
NER
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
COC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NER
4 - 0
RSL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 1
ROC
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
ORL
1 - 1
ROC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIN
40%
30%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 1
GPO
77%
17%
7%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 0
TAM
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |