New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RSL
0 - 0
NER
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
NER
3 - 1
COC
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
NER
0 - 1
NYC
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
NER
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 3
NER
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 2
RBN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
0 - 0
CRY
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
3 - 0
DCU
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
HOD
1 - 0
PHU
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 1
RBN
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |