New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
DCU
1 - 0
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
NER
2 - 0
DAL
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 0
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
NER
6 - 1
COR
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RBN
3 - 2
NER
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 1
COC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COC
3 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 0
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DCU
3 - 1
CFS
40%
25%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |