CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-9
New England Revolution vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NER
1 - 1
CFS
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NER
1 - 2
CIN
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 1
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
NER
42%
24%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
NER
4 - 0
LDA
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
AME
37%
25%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
AME
2 - 3
CHI
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
TIG
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 3
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |