Nevşehir Belediyespor vs 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
5º
6
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 61 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 46 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 46 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 45 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 19 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
41.5% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevşehir Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 3
FAT
56%
25%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
NSG
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 0
NSG
13%
21%
66%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NSG
1 - 0
IKG
54%
23%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NSG
2 - 1
AFK
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
1954 Kelkit Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
KEL
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 2
SEK
15%
25%
60%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KEL
3 - 1
KAR
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
KEL
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KBS
3 - 2
KEL
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |