Nevşehir Belediyespor vs Çayelispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
14º
12º
26
4º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 58 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 18 |
16º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevşehir Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
YAS
2 - 0
NSG
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NSG
1 - 0
MUL
41%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 0
NSG
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NSG
0 - 0
KEL
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
NSG
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Çayelispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
3 - 2
BIS
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAY
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 1
SEK
22%
25%
53%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
CAY
0 - 2
YYS
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 2
CAY
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |