Nevezis vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
5º
4º
28
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nevezis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
NEV
26%
23%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NEV
1 - 1
GKA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SIA
3 - 2
NEV
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
NEV
2 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
NEV
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 1
BEN
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
6 - 0
MCF
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAB
25%
22%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 6
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKE
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |