Neustrelitz vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
15º
5º
37
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HZE
3 - 0
NEU
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
3 - 2
NEU
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 0
MAH
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TEN
1 - 1
NEU
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TAS
1 - 0
SCS
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAH
0 - 3
TAS
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAS
0 - 2
TEN
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
TAS
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAS
4 - 0
RFC
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |