Neustrelitz vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GER
1 - 1
NEU
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
ZWI
1 - 1
NEU
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 0
OPT
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 0
ENE
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOK
3 - 0
NEU
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
AUE
1 - 2
PLA
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AUE
2 - 1
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
AUE
0 - 1
ENE
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAK
2 - 0
AUE
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MEU
5 - 2
AUE
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |