Neusiedl vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
STI
0 - 0
NEU
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
NEU
3 - 2
JEN
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
NEU
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 1
KLI
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 1
NEU
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 3
DRA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PUR
4 - 0
STI
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 1
PUR
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PUR
0 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KLI
3 - 1
PUR
36%
25%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |