Neusiedl vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GUS
1 - 1
NEU
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
NEU
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 4
STM
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
BAU
2 - 1
NEU
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
STM
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 2
MAR
14%
19%
68%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
STI
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 4
MAR
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
MAR
9 - 0
SCB
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |