Neusiedl vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
STM
2 - 1
NEU
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
NEU
5 - 6
DRA
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
NEU
2 - 1
PUR
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
STI
0 - 0
NEU
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
NEU
3 - 2
JEN
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
PUR
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 3
JEN
34%
23%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
STI
0 - 3
FOR
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
KLI
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |