Neusiedl vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
NEU
1 - 2
SCH
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
4 - 2
NEU
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
0 - 0
NEU
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OST
1 - 2
NEU
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
NEU
1 - 3
MAT
51%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 8
PAR
15%
20%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 0
BAU
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 3
ADM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 2
BAU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 2
WIE
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |