Neusiedl vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2007 |
TFW
2 - 2
NEU
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
NEU
1 - 2
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
NEU
37%
28%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
NEU
2 - 4
WIE
23%
23%
53%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
WUR
3 - 1
NEU
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2007 |
BAU
0 - 2
SCH
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
WIE
1 - 1
BAU
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
BAU
0 - 3
SKN
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
FCW
1 - 0
BAU
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 0
KRE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |