SV Ried II vs FC Hertha Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
7º
63
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
NEU
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 3
LJU
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
4 - 1
NEU
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
4 - 0
WEI
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VOC
1 - 3
NEU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 4
RIE
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HER
4 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 2
HER
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
GUR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LBN
0 - 0
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |