SV Ried II vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
12º
11º
12
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 68 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 60 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 52 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 52 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 51 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 39 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 35 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
1 - 2
NEU
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 2
BRA
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DON
3 - 4
NEU
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
BUC
5 - 1
NEU
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NEU
5 - 1
ALL
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OED
1 - 0
VOR
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HOH
4 - 4
OED
78%
14%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
OED
1 - 7
LAS
8%
16%
75%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
OED
9 - 0
WEL
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEA
3 - 2
OED
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |