SV Ried II vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
63.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
11º
8º
35
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 68 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 59 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 56 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 47 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 47 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 19 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
6 - 2
NEU
40%
23%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 2
OED
48%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAC
1 - 2
NEU
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 2
BRA
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DON
3 - 4
NEU
10%
17%
73%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LBN
1 - 0
VOR
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GDF
1 - 2
LBN
12%
22%
66%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LBN
2 - 0
LJU
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SCW
2 - 1
LBN
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LBN
6 - 0
KAP
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |