Neudrossenfeld vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
12º
11º
9
13º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 72 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 67 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 66 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 61 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 57 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 56 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 43 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 37 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 33 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 15 |
18º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neudrossenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 2
NEU
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
DJK
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AMM
1 - 1
NEU
54%
22%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 2
ATS
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
3 - 3
JRE
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JRE
5 - 2
DJK
36%
23%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
JRE
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JRE
0 - 1
NEU
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |