Neudrossenfeld vs FC Eintracht Münchberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
15º
15º
8
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 68 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 64 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 52 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 48 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 44 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 43 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 39 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 39 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 27 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 13 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
50% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neudrossenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 6
SGF
5%
13%
82%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 2
BAY
15%
20%
65%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
NEU
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
REG
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FEU
1 - 3
NEU
9%
16%
76%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eintracht Münchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 4
FCE
26%
22%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 1
SCG
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
FSS
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 3
FCE
26%
22%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |