Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 10-1
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Tiligul Tiraspol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
GCZ
7 - 2
NEX
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
NEX
1 - 2
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
STG
3 - 0
NEX
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
NEX
2 - 0
STG
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tiligul Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TIT
7 - 0
MHM
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
FCV
1 - 3
TIT
20%
23%
57%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
TIT
1 - 0
NIS
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
COC
0 - 6
TIT
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
UAC
0 - 0
TIT
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |