Neuchâtel Xamax vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
8º
8º
26
5º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
BIE
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 3
FCA
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
NEX
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
4 - 0
VEV
73%
16%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STA
3 - 2
BUL
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
THU
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
NEX
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |