UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
NEX
6 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ARA
1 - 3
NEX
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
NEX
1 - 2
GCZ
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
ASS
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 0
IST
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CAE
2 - 0
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
TFC
0 - 2
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |