Neuchâtel Xamax vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
MFF
0 - 1
NEX
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
FCA
0 - 3
NEX
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NEX
3 - 0
BUL
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEX
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
STG
0 - 1
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SER
3 - 0
FCL
79%
13%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
FCL
3 - 2
NOB
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FCL
5 - 3
VEV
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |