Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1998 |
BAD
5 - 1
NEX
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
NEX
3 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
ETO
1 - 2
NEX
13%
20%
67%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
NEX
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
NEX
1 - 1
KRI
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
NEX
3 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 0
SOL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
KRI
3 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |