Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
ZUR
4 - 2
NEX
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
NEX
0 - 1
LAU
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NEX
1 - 0
STG
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
SER
6 - 0
NEX
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
CSC
0 - 2
NEX
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 3
YOB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
CHI
3 - 3
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |