Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Neuchâtel Xamax vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
NEX
4 - 0
LAU
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
FCW
0 - 0
NEX
22%
22%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
NEX
4 - 0
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SVA
2 - 1
LSO
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
4 - 1
CSK
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
1 - 1
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
3 - 1
BOT
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
BVR
1 - 2
LSO
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |