Neuchâtel Xamax vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WOH
0 - 2
NEX
20%
24%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
NEX
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
NEX
0 - 3
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 3
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SER
1 - 1
NEX
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 0
CHI
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LAU
2 - 1
LOC
68%
19%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 1
SCH
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 0
SER
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 0
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |