Neuchâtel Xamax vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
GRO
0 - 0
NEX
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
SIO
0 - 1
NEX
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCW
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
1 - 1
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
VEV
2 - 1
LOC
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
0 - 0
STG
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
0 - 2
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
SER
5 - 2
LOC
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |