Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
49
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
WIL
44%
25%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 3
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
BAD
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
FCV
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |