Neuchâtel Xamax vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LYS
2 - 3
NEX
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NEX
4 - 0
FCC
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 20 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NEX
5 - 0
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 6
NEX
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEX
5 - 0
LAU
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | +2 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
CON
10%
16%
74%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
3 - 3
FCT
84%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
LAU
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ALL
5 - 2
FCT
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 5
MOU
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |