Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
FCV
3 - 3
NEX
32%
26%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
NEX
5 - 1
YVE
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VIF
0 - 1
NEX
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NEX
5 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
NEX
2 - 1
WIN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |