Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
NEX
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 0
NEX
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 0
FCA
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |