Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 1
GCZ
32%
24%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |