Neuchâtel Xamax vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
STG
3 - 3
NEX
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
NEX
2 - 1
LAR
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
NEX
3 - 1
SIO
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
BEL
2 - 1
NEX
32%
27%
40%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
FCL
1 - 0
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 2
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
LOK
4 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |